International Economics Zusammenfassung#

Definitions#

Global Trade: Sum of trade activities both within and between countries

Types of Trade:

intraregional Trade

interregional Trade

between members of economic integration space (EU, USA, country)

between different economic spaces

Foreign Trade: trade relations across borders

Foreign Trade Theory: explanation of occurence / impacts of foreign trade

Reasons for trade:

  • cost benefits

  • expansion of range

  • More availibility of goods

Gravity Model#

Amount of Trade between two countries

\[ T_{ij} = A \frac{ Y_i Y_j }{D_{ij}} \]

other Factors

  • Geography

  • cultural affinity

  • borders

  • multinational corp

Ricardo Model#

Assumptions#

  • one factor: labor

  • differing productivity across countries

  • supply = constant

  • two goods (e.g cheese and wine)

  • wage = price of output

Definitions#

  • amount of labor to produce a good: \(a_{LGood}\)

  • wage = \(\frac{ P_C }{a_{LC}}\)

  • Production Possibility Frontier = line

    • maximum amount of goods, producible by fixed input of factors

    • \(a_{LC}Q_C + a_{LW}Q_W\)

  • opportunity costs: \(\frac{ a_{LC} }{a_{LW}}\) = O.C of cheese

  • relative price: \(\frac{ P_C }{P_W}\) of cheese

Trade#

absolute advantage: country produces good with lower factor inputs

comparative advantage: country produces good with lower opportunity cost

Trade = possible when country has comp. advantage, not just absolute advantage!

O.C and Relative prices

who produces cheese?

\(\frac{ P_C }{P_W} < \frac{ a_{LC} }{a_{LW}}< \frac{ a_{LC}^* }{a_{LW}}^*\)

Nobody

\(\frac{ a_{LC} }{a_{LW}} \le \frac{ P_C }{P_W}< \frac{ a_{LC}^* }{a_{LW}}^*\)

Home Country

\(\frac{ a_{LC} }{a_{LW}}\le \frac{ P_C }{P_W}= \frac{ a_{LC}^* }{a_{LW}}^*\)

Home Country + partly foreign country

\(\frac{ a_{LC} }{a_{LW}}< \frac{ a_{LC}^* }{a_{LW}}^* < \frac{ P_C }{P_W}\)

both countries completely

Results of Trade#

Misconception

Reality (in this Model)

Trade only good for productive countries

unproductive countries = lower wage = advantage

Trade exploits less productive countries

better than without, cheaper goods

trade only good for low wage countries, not high wage

increase wage in efficient industry in high wage country

Specific Factors Model#

Assumptions#

  • 3 factors (land, capital, labor)

    • labor = mobile

    • capital / land = specific to good

  • two goods / industries

    • Food = labor + land

    • Cloth = labor + capital

  • perfect competition + full employment

  • countries differ by many things (productivity, endowments etc.)

Definitions#

  • PPF = curve

    • diminishing returns when concentration in one industry

  • Marginal Product of Labor \(MPL\) = diminishing

  • Marginal value = wage = \(P_F \times MPL_F\)

PPF

Allocation of Labor

2023-05-11_13-11-16

img

Trade#

Amount of Goods traded depends on relative Supply supplied: \(RS = \frac{ Q_C * Q_C^* }{Q_F* Q_F^*}\)

img

Situations:

relative quantities

Result

\(RS_{home} < RS_{world}\)

\(\implies P \uparrow, Q \downarrow\)

\(RS_{home} > RS_{world}\)

\(\implies P \downarrow, Q\uparrow\)

Results of Trade#

Example: Price rises of Cloth

  • Output rises

  • capital owners profit

  • labor shifts from food to cloth

    • wage does not rise as much as price (%)

  • worker profit = depends on preferences

img

  • Results depend on if sector is export or import sector

  • Budget Constraint above PPF = achievable

Heckscher-Ohlin Model#

Assumptions#

  • two goods (food and clothing)

  • two factors = mixed across goods

  • free capital / labor mobility

  • countries only differ by endowments

Definitions#

  • Production of Good depends on Production Function \(Q_C = f(K,L)\)

  • Capital-intensive industry (cloth): \(\frac{ a_{KC} }{a_{LC}} > \frac{ a_{KF} }{a_{LF}}\)

  • PPF

    • \(V = P_C*Q_C+P_F*Q_F\)

    • \(K \ge a_{LF} Q_{LF}+a_{LC}Q_{LC}\) (Capital allocation across sectors)

    • smooth curve!

  • Producers: choose factors based on wage and r (interest)

  • higher wage = offset by more capital input

Trade#

  • Countries produce goods intensive with their abundant factor

    • e.g USA = capital abundant = produce computer

    • Bangladesh = labor abundant = produce clothes

  • moves Relative Supply (like in Specific Factor)

  • same preferences = same consumption after trade

Autarky

Trade

2023-07-23_14-39-37

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shows two different countries (A & B) with factors (\(G_1\) & \(G_2\))

Results of Trade#

  • prices converge

  • countries specialise

  • Owners of abundant factor profit (capitalists in US, workers in Bangladesh)

  • other factors = less produced = diminishing returns

  • redistribution across owners, not industries!

Standard Model#

generalizes all models (with others as special cases)

Assumptions#

  • two goods

  • each country individual PFF, differences between

    • factor endowment

    • technology / productivity

Definitions#

  • PFF = smooth curve

  • production depends on relative price \(\frac{ P_F }{P_C}\) and

  • Indifference Curve of Consumers

different isovalue lines and PPF

img

Trade#

  • depends on relative prices

  • and Terms of Trade \(= \frac{ Price_{exports} }{Price_{imports}}\)

    • rise = good for welfare of country

  • Allows higher IDK than without

img

Results of Trade#

  • grows economy (mostly biased growth)

  • depends if growth in export or import sector

    • import biased growth = higher ToT = welfare gain

    • export biased growth = lower ToT = welfare loss

Model Comparison#

Model

Assumptions

differences between countries

Time perspective

winners of trade

Ricardo

one factor, 2 goods

labor productivity

short run

everybody

Specific Factor

3 factor, 2 goods

Productivity / factors

medium run

export industries and their factors

Heckscher Ohlin

2 factor, 2 goods

Endowment of Factors

long run

owners of abundant factors

Standard

2 factor, 2 goods

Everything

Depends

  • 3 models = 3 time frames of factor mobility

    • ricardo = immobile = short run

    • specific factor = partly mobile = medium run

    • heckscher = very mobile = long run

  • shock is dynamic over time frame

Theorems#

all in the Heckscher Ohlin Model

Heckscher-Ohlin Theorem: countries specialize in goods that use its abundant factor intensively

e.g Bangladesh labor-abundant = clothes production

Stolper-Samuelson Theorem: Rise in relative price of good => higher return to factor used intensively & lower returns for factors of other good

e.g higher price for clothes => higher wages for clothes workers & lower returns for land owners in food production

Rybczynski-Theorem: if prices constant and amount of one factor rises => Quantity of good using factor intensively increases & other goods quantity decreases

e.g population rise in Bangladesh => more clothes produced & even less food production

Trade Policy Instruments#

Policy

Producer Surplus

Consumer Surplus

Government revenue

national Welfare

Tariff

+ (increase)

– (decrease)

+

~ (Depends on country size)

Export Subsidy

+

Import Quote

+

=

~

Voluntary Export Restraint

+

=

Tariff#

Tariff: tax imposed by government on imports, either per unit (specific) or as % of value (ad valorem)

similar to transportation cost

  • higher price at home

  • lowers world market price (if country big enough)

  • decreases quantity traded

img

producers profit, government gains revenue, consumers have to pay higher prices

Export Subsidy#

Export Subsidy: policy to encourage export of goods and discourage sale of goods on the domestic market through direct payments

  • lowers price in importing countries

  • higher price for home consumers

Import Quota#

Import Quota: Restriction of Quantity of Good that may be imported

  • no government revenue

  • quota rents to license holders

Voluntary Export Restriction#

Voluntary Export Restraint (VER): quota imposed by exporting country on its exporting industry

  • due to pressure by Importing Country

  • Example: Japanese Cars in US Market

    • Price rose of japanese fuel efficient cars

    • rent to japanese firms

Local Content Requirement#

Local Content Requirement: regulation, that fraction of end product domestically produced

  • no revenues

  • home producers of inputs like import quota

  • home producers of outputs not as strict

  • price diff average between no quota and import quota

Political Economy of Trade#

International Trade & Globalisation = highly debated topic

Case for Protection#

Presence of imperfect markets

  • No prefect competition

  • market distortions

Examples:

  • tariff on foreign monopoly firm = shift profit to domestic

  • subsidy on domestic firm = compete against oligopolies

    • Brender Spencer Analysis

    • capture world market = higher profit than subsidy costs

    • Example: Airbus - Boeing

  • pollution = negative externality

    • tariff = shift to less polluting domestic industry

    • less world pollution overall

Case against Protection#

Retaliation

  • possibility of retaliation of other countries

  • less welfare overall

Superior Policies to raise efficiency

  • if goal is to stop unemployment

  • use fiscal policy e.g than trade policy

  • Trade policy = Second Best Option

Information Deficiencies

  • perfect tariff rate = difficult to set

  • unintended consequences in other industries

Lobbying / Rent Seeking

  • concentrated interest groups = more power than less concentrated consumers

  • captured by special interests