09.11.2023 Presentation#

What is an Argument?#

  • Claim: \(A \uparrow \to B \uparrow\)

  • Argument: because X (Reason)

    • theoretical / empirical to support the claim

  • Purpose: convince audience of \(\to\) claim

Example from AJR 2001

A \(\downarrow \implies\)

B \(\downarrow\)

Quality of current institutions

Current Performance

Empirical: Protection against Risk of Expropiation

reduces GDP per Capita

Elements of X

  • Theory: countries with better property rights invest more in physical capital

  • Empirically: Figure 2 from Paper

Counterarguments:

  • reversed causality: \(B \downarrow \to A \downarrow\)

  • omitted vairable \(A \downarrow \& B \downarrow\) because of W

Counter Counterarguments

  • accept limitations of argument

  • add reasons to X (X1,X2,…)

Presentation#

  • 5 points per slide

  • short sentences

Questions:

  • policy advice

  • research addition

  • discussion about picture

Tips:

  • present the argument first

  • add colored lines to the figure for explanation (or text and formulas)

  • include regression formula (with arrows and explanation)