Peak Rate Years of Resource Use

investigation of

• peak rate use of resources

• Renewable and nonrenewable

• synchronized (Relationships between them)

peak rate: year of maximum growth rate (not maximum usage)

Method:

• Time series analysis extimation

• Snychrony: fancy maths / statistics

• 27 resources

• 2 global drivers (GDP, Pop)

Results:

• 21 of 27 resources = peak rate

• many Fossils not yet occurred

• Synchronization evident

Why:

• muliple resources used for same purpose (land, fertilizer, etc.)

• Extraction cost rise

• substitutes not a driver

  • Meat is not replaced by plant-protein

Results:

• disruptive innovation needed

• Higher human capital growth rate

• Simultaneously manage planetary resources

Questions:

• aktuellere Variante?

• Peak rate 2011/2012 scheint gewagt zu sein

  • da dort Zeitserien enden